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CESM1-CDR Experiment Paper list

To understand the irreversibility and hysteresis of the climate system in response to ramp-up and ramp-down CO₂ concentrations.

All 50 papers shown on the Experiment I map, grouped as in the map legend. Back to the map →

Co-authored (published) 32

  1. Cheng, Y., Olson, R., Shin, J., An, S.-I., & Chang, W. (2026)

    Long‐Term Historical Slowdown in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation

    Environmetrics, 37(4), e70101 Historical AMOC slowdown · North Atlantic

  2. Park, B.-J., Min, S.-K., An, S.-I., Yeh, S.-W., Son, S.-W., Kug, J.-S., Jun, S.-Y., Shin, J., Ryu, Y.-H., & Park, I.-H. (2026)

    Hemispheric contrast in summer season duration responses to CO₂ removal

    Communications Earth & Environment, 7(1), 557 Summer season length · Global

  3. Yang, Y.-M., Shin, J., Park, J.-H., An, S.-I., Wang, B., & Al Khourdajie, A. (2026)

    Reduced mid-latitude El Niño-related precipitation due to southern ocean warming under abrupt CO₂ change scenarios

    Climate Dynamics, 64(1), 3 Mid-latitude El Niño rainfall · Southern Ocean

  4. Heo, E.-S., An, S.-I., & Shin, J. (2025)

    Asymmetric Impact of the Tropical Pacific on Summertime Arctic Sea Ice Trends Under Increasing and Decreasing Greenhouse Gases

    Geophysical Research Letters, 52(14), e2025GL116352 Arctic sea ice · Arctic

  5. Li, Z.-B., Liu, C., Azorin-Molina, C., An, S.-I., Zhao, Y., Xu, Y., Shin, J., Chen, D., & Shen, C. (2025)

    Asymmetric response of Northern Hemisphere near-surface wind speed to CO₂ removal

    Weather and Climate Dynamics, 6(4), 1107–1117 Surface wind stilling · Europe

  6. Hwang, J., Son, S.-W., Garfinkel, C. I., Woollings, T., Yoon, H., An, S.-I., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., Kug, J.-S., & Shin, J. (2024)

    Asymmetric hysteresis response of mid-latitude storm tracks to CO₂ removal

    Nature Climate Change, 14(5), 496–503 Storm track hysteresis · North Atlantic

  7. Hwang, J., Son, S.-W., Martineau, P., Sung, M.-K., Barriopedro, D., An, S.-I., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., Kug, J.-S., & Shin, J. (2024)

    Basin-dependent response of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking frequency to CO₂ removal

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7(1), 111 Winter blocking · North Atlantic

  8. Im, N., Kim, D., An, S.-I., Paik, S., Kim, S.-K., Shin, J., Min, S.-K., Kug, J.-S., & Oh, H. (2024)

    Hysteresis of European summer precipitation under a symmetric CO₂ ramp-up and ramp-down pathway

    Environmental Research Letters, 19(7), 074030 European summer rainfall · Europe

  9. Kim, H.-J., Kim, J.-S., An, S.-I., Shin, J., Oh, J.-H., & Kug, J.-S. (2024)

    Pervasive fire danger continued under a negative emission scenario

    Nature Communications, 15(1), 10010 Fire danger · South America

  10. Kim, G.-I., Oh, J.-H., Shin, N.-Y., An, S.-I., Yeh, S.-W., Shin, J., & Kug, J.-S. (2024)

    Deep ocean warming-induced El Niño changes

    Nature Communications, 15(1), 6225 Deep-ocean El Niño · Tropical Pacific

  11. Oh, J.-H., Kug, J.-S., An, S.-I., Jin, F.-F., McPhaden, M. J., & Shin, J. (2024)

    Emergent climate change patterns originating from deep ocean warming in climate mitigation scenarios

    Nature Climate Change, 14(3), 260–266 Deep ocean warming · Global

  12. Paik, S., Kim, D., An, S.-I., Oh, H., Shin, J., Goswami, B. B., Min, S.-K., & Mondal, S. K. (2024)

    Exploring causes of distinct regional and subseasonal Indian summer monsoon precipitation responses to CO₂ removal

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7(1), 305 Indian monsoon rainfall · Monsoon

  13. Park, I.-H., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., An, S.-I., Xie, S.-P., & Shin, J. (2024)

    Irreversible changes in the sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection to CO₂ forcing

    Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 659 Convection SST threshold · Tropical Pacific

  14. Yang, Y.-M., Shin, J., Park, S.-W., Park, J.-H., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., Yeh, S.-W., Lee, J.-Y., Wang, B., Li, T., & Im, N. (2024)

    Fast reduction of Atlantic SST threatens Europe-wide gross primary productivity under positive and negative CO₂ emissions

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7(1), 117 Europe GPP decline · Europe

  15. Kim, S.-Y., Choi, Y.-J., Son, S.-W., Grise, K. M., Staten, P. W., An, S.-I., Yeh, S.-W., Kug, J.-S., Min, S.-K., & Shin, J. (2023)

    Hemispherically asymmetric Hadley cell response to CO₂ removal

    Science Advances, 9(30), eadg1801 Hadley cell asymmetry · Subtropics

  16. Lee, Y.-H., Yeh, S.-W., Hong, J.-S., Shin, J., & An, S.-I. (2023)

    Regime shift increase in East Asia's summer extreme hot day frequency across the late 1990s

    International Journal of Climatology, 43(5), 2305–2317 Hot-day regime shift · East Asia

  17. Liu, C., An, S.-I., Jin, F.-F., Shin, J., Kug, J.-S., Zhang, W., Stuecker, M. F., Yuan, X., Xue, A., Geng, X., & Kim, S.-K. (2023)

    Hysteresis of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation to CO₂ forcing

    Science Advances, 9(31), eadh8442 ENSO hysteresis · Tropical Pacific

  18. Liu, C., An, S.-I., Jin, F.-F., Stuecker, M. F., Zhang, W., Kug, J.-S., Yuan, X., Shin, J., Xue, A., Geng, X., & Kim, S.-K. (2023)

    ENSO skewness hysteresis and associated changes in strong El Niño under a CO₂ removal scenario

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 117 ENSO skewness · Tropical Pacific

  19. Mondal, S. K., An, S.-I., Min, S.-K., Kim, S.-K., Shin, J., Paik, S., Im, N., & Liu, C. (2023)

    Hysteresis and irreversibility of global extreme precipitation to anthropogenic CO₂ emission

    Weather and Climate Extremes, 40, 100561 Extreme precipitation · Global

  20. Paik, S., An, S.-I., Min, S.-K., King, A. D., & Shin, J. (2023)

    Hysteretic Behavior of Global to Regional Monsoon Area Under CO₂ Ramp‐Up and Ramp‐Down

    Earth's Future, 11(7), e2022EF003434 Monsoon area hysteresis · Monsoon

  21. Pathirana, G., Oh, J.-H., Cai, W., An, S.-I., Min, S.-K., Jo, S.-Y., Shin, J., & Kug, J.-S. (2023)

    Increase in convective extreme El Niño events in a CO₂ removal scenario

    Science Advances, 9(25), eadh2412 Convective extreme El Niño · Tropical Pacific

  22. Sung, M.-K., An, S.-I., Shin, J., Park, J.-H., Yang, Y.-M., Kim, H.-J., & Chang, M. (2023)

    Ocean fronts as decadal thermostats modulating continental warming hiatus

    Nature Communications, 14(1), 7777 Ocean front thermostat · North Pacific

  23. An, S.-I., Park, H.-J., Kim, S.-K., Shin, J., Yeh, S.-W., & Kug, J.-S. (2022)

    Intensity changes of Indian Ocean dipole mode in a carbon dioxide removal scenario

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5(1), 20 IOD intensity · Indian Ocean

  24. An, S.-I., Park, S.-E., Shin, J., Yang, Y.-M., Yeh, S.-W., Son, S.-W., & Kug, J.-S. (2022)

    General circulation and global heat transport in a quadrupling CO₂ pulse experiment

    Scientific Reports, 12(1), 11569 Heat transport (4×CO₂ pulse) · Tropical Atlantic

  25. Jo, S.-Y., Seong, M.-G., Min, S.-K., Kug, J.-S., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Son, S.-W., & Shin, J. (2022)

    Hysteresis Behaviors in East Asian Extreme Precipitation Frequency to CO₂ Pathway

    Geophysical Research Letters, 49(18), e2022GL099814 Extreme rainfall frequency · East Asia

  26. Kim, S.-K., Shin, J., An, S.-I., Kim, H.-J., Im, N., Xie, S.-P., Kug, J.-S., & Yeh, S.-W. (2022)

    Widespread irreversible changes in surface temperature and precipitation in response to CO₂ forcing

    Nature Climate Change, 12(9), 834–840 Irreversible surface climate · Global

  27. Kug, J.-S., Oh, J.-H., An, S.-I., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., Son, S.-W., Kam, J., Ham, Y.-G., & Shin, J. (2022)

    Hysteresis of the intertropical convergence zone to CO₂ forcing

    Nature Climate Change, 12(1), 47–53 ITCZ hysteresis · Tropical Atlantic

  28. Oh, H., An, S.-I., Shin, J., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., Son, S.-W., & Kug, J.-S. (2022)

    Contrasting Hysteresis Behaviors of Northern Hemisphere Land Monsoon Precipitation to CO₂ Pathways

    Earth's Future, 10(6), e2021EF002623 Land monsoon hysteresis · Monsoon

  29. Oh, J.-H., An, S.-I., Shin, J., & Kug, J.-S. (2022)

    Centennial Memory of the Arctic Ocean for Future Arctic Climate Recovery in Response to a Carbon Dioxide Removal

    Earth's Future, 10(8), e2022EF002804 Arctic Ocean memory · Arctic

  30. Song, S.-Y., Yeh, S.-W., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., Min, S.-K., Son, S.-W., & Shin, J. (2022)

    Asymmetrical response of summer rainfall in East Asia to CO₂ forcing

    Science Bulletin, 67(2), 213–222 Summer rainfall asymmetry · East Asia

  31. An, S.-I., Shin, J., Yeh, S.-W., Son, S.-W., Kug, J.-S., Min, S.-K., & Kim, H.-J. (2021)

    Global Cooling Hiatus Driven by an AMOC Overshoot in a Carbon Dioxide Removal Scenario

    Earth's Future, 9(7), e2021EF002165 AMOC overshoot · North Atlantic

  32. Yeh, S.-W., Song, S.-Y., Allan, R. P., An, S.-I., & Shin, J. (2021)

    Contrasting response of hydrological cycle over land and ocean to a changing CO₂ pathway

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4(1), 53 Land–ocean water cycle · Global

Used the experiment (not co-authored) 17

  1. Cajada, M. I., Son, S.-W., Jun, Y.-J., Simon Wang, S.-Y., Yoon, J.-H., & Min, S.-K. (2026)

    Reversal of the warm Arctic–cold Eurasia intraseasonal coupling by CO₂ removal

    Environmental Research Letters, 21(11), 114005 WACE coupling · Arctic

  2. Chung, S., Park, C., Kwon, Y., Son, S.-W., Winters, A. C., & Dong, W. (2026)

    Hysteresis in global atmospheric river activity under carbon dioxide removal

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 9(1), 186 Atmospheric rivers · Global

  3. Iwakiri, T., Kug, J.-S., An, S.-I., Shin, Y., Oh, J.-H., & Wang, S. (2026)

    AMOC slowdown amplifies North Atlantic salinity variability to unprecedented levels

    Nature Communications, 17(1), 7021 Salinity variability · North Atlantic

  4. Shin, Y.-R., Seo, K.-H., Kug, J.-S., Kosaka, Y., Yeh, S.-W., Ham, Y.-G., Son, J.-H., & Myeong, H.-J. (2026)

    Incomplete recovery in compound extreme events under a CO₂ removal scenario

    Environmental Research Letters, 21(18), 184005 Compound extremes · Global

  5. Song, S.-H., Yeh, S.-W., Song, S.-Y., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., & Jo, H.-S. (2026)

    Changes in ENSO and high-latitude SST relationship with varying CO₂ concentration

    Climate Dynamics, 64(6), 261 ENSO–Arctic link · Arctic

  6. Yang, Y.-M., Park, J.-H., An, S.-I., Khourdajie, A. A., & Wang, B. (2026)

    Hysteresis of Global Wind Energy Resources Under Symmetric CO₂ Forcing

    Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 62(4), 31 Wind energy · Global

  7. Cajada, M. I., Son, S.-W., Hwang, J., Park, H.-S., & An, S.-I. (2025)

    Regionally‐Dependent Arctic Sea Ice Recovery to CO₂ Removal

    Earth's Future, 13(6), e2024EF005597 Sea-ice recovery · Arctic

  8. Iwakiri, T., Kug, J.-S., Jin, F.-F., Zhao, S., An, S.-I., Kim, G.-I., & Park, D. (2025)

    Abrupt shift of El Niño periodicity under CO₂ mitigation

    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122(25), e2426048122 El Niño periodicity · Tropical Pacific

  9. Kim, S.-H., Min, S.-K., An, S.-I., Kim, M.-K., Park, H.-S., Park, J.-Y., Park, D.-S. R., Sung, H.-M., Byun, Y.-H., & Boo, K.-O. (2025)

    Hysteresis response of Northern Hemisphere winter temperature variability under different CO₂ removal pathways

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 388 Winter temperature variability · North Atlantic

  10. Oh, J.-H., Kug, J.-S., Shin, Y., Geng, X., Wang, S., Jin, F.-F., An, S.-I., Xie, S.-P., & Liu, W. (2025)

    Noise-induced tipping of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation under climate mitigation scenarios

    Nature Communications, 16(1), 11515 AMOC noise-induced tipping · North Atlantic

  11. Yoon, H., Son, S.-W., Lee, J., Kim, H.-S., Liu, C., An, S.-I., Kug, J.-S., Min, S.-K., & Yeh, S.-W. (2025)

    Asymmetric response of the Western North Pacific tropical cyclone genesis to symmetric CO₂ pathway

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8(1), 208 TC genesis · Tropical cyclones

  12. An, S.-I., Shin, S.-H., Liu, C., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., Son, S.-W., Kug, J.-S., & Park, J.-H. (2024)

    Asymmetric ENSO teleconnections in a symmetric CO₂ concentration pathway

    Environmental Research Letters, 19(12), 124028 ENSO teleconnection · Tropical Pacific

  13. Liu, C., An, S.-I., Yan, Z., Kim, S.-K., & Paik, S. (2024)

    Strong El Niño and La Niña precipitation—sea surface temperature sensitivity under a carbon removal scenario

    Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 774 ENSO rainfall sensitivity · Tropical Pacific

  14. Liu, C., An, S.-I., Zhao, J., Son, S.-W., Jin, F.-F., & Zhan, R. (2024)

    Hemispheric asymmetric response of tropical cyclones to CO₂ emission reduction

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7(1), 83 Tropical cyclone hysteresis · Tropical cyclones

  15. Wang, S., Shin, Y., Oh, J.-H., & Kug, J.-S. (2024)

    Fast recovery of North Atlantic sea level in response to atmospheric carbon dioxide removal

    Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 652 Subpolar sea level · North Atlantic

  16. Goswami, B. B., & An, S.-I. (2023)

    An assessment of the ENSO-monsoon teleconnection in a warming climate

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 82 ENSO–monsoon link · Monsoon

  17. Song, S.-Y., Yeh, S.-W., Allan, R. P., Xie, S.-P., An, S.-I., & Park, H.-S. (2023)

    Climate sensitivity controls global precipitation hysteresis in a changing CO₂ pathway

    npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 156 Precipitation hysteresis · Global

In preparation 1

  1. Shin, J., et al. (in preparation)

    Long-lasting Southern Ocean warming in a carbon dioxide removal scenario through warm water upwelling and sea ice-albedo feedback

    Southern Ocean warming · Southern Ocean